A new agricultural drought monitoring index combining MODIS NDWI and day–night land surface temperatures: a case study in China

Hao Sun^a, Xiang Zhao^b, Yunhao Chen^a, Adu Gong^a,c, and Jing Yang^a

^a State Key Laboratory of Earth Surface Processes and Resource Ecology, College of Resources Science & Technology, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;

^b College of Global Change and Earth System Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China;

^c Academy of Disaster Reduction and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China.

Abstract: The vegetation health index (VHI) is a widely utilized remote-sensing-based index for monitoring agricultural drought on the regional or global scale. However, the validity of VHI as a drought detection tool relies on the assumption that the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and land-surface temperature (T_s) at a given pixel will vary inversely over time. This assumption may introduce large uncertainties in VHI for drought monitoring over areas with complex landforms, such as China. In order to monitor agricultural drought over the whole of China, a new drought detection index is suggested in this article, termed the vegetation drought index (VDI). VDI is developed from the classical VHI by substituting NDVI and T_s with the normalized difference water index (NDWI) and day–night T_s difference (ΔT_s), respectively. Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) MOD11C3 and MOD13C2 products from 2001 to 2011, monthly precipitation data from 1970 to 2010, and yearly winter wheat yield data from 2000 to 2012 were utilized to evaluate VDI. Results indicated that (1) many areas in China show a positive correlation between NDVI and T_s, especially in the cold season, whereas most areas have a negative correlation between NDWI and ΔT_s; (2) VDI has a significant linear correlation with VHI in areas and periods where the NDVI–T_s correlation and NDWI–ΔT_s correlation are both negative; (3) VDI presents a significant correlation with 3 and 6 month standardized precipitation indices, which is comparable to VHI; and (4) VDI has a significant correlation with normalized crop yield, and is better than VHI. As an example, the extreme drought event over southwestern China from winter 2009 to spring 2010 was successfully explored by VDI. It is concluded that the new index, VDI, has the potential to monitor agricultural drought over the whole of China, including areas and periods where the NDVI–T_s correlation is non-negative.